Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001058 0.001200 0.001344 0.001501 0.001665 0.001832 0.002014
2025-04-13 0.000833 0.001048 0.001276 0.001532 0.001808 0.002097 0.002419
2025-04-20 0.000593 0.000852 0.001139 0.001474 0.001848 0.002248 0.002703
2025-04-27 0.000404 0.000685 0.001016 0.001417 0.001879 0.002384 0.002968
2025-05-04 0.000308 0.000612 0.000990 0.001464 0.002021 0.002640 0.003365
2025-05-11 0.000195 0.000497 0.000899 0.001425 0.002059 0.002775 0.003625
2025-05-18 0.000097 0.000371 0.000779 0.001338 0.002032 0.002831 0.003791
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000291 0.000707 0.001303 0.002062 0.002946 0.004021
2025-06-01 0.000009 0.000214 0.000627 0.001250 0.002062 0.003024 0.004205
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000166 0.000580 0.001234 0.002106 0.003151 0.004443
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000149 0.000581 0.001284 0.002232 0.003374 0.004792
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000114 0.000544 0.001276 0.002280 0.003502 0.005028
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000086 0.000520 0.001298 0.002384 0.003719 0.005395
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000065 0.000509 0.001339 0.002518 0.003978 0.005819
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000030 0.000443 0.001294 0.002536 0.004096 0.006079
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000008 0.000380 0.001246 0.002548 0.004205 0.006328
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000003 0.000376 0.001293 0.002691 0.004478 0.006777
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000328 0.001259 0.002718 0.004605 0.007047
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000259 0.001178 0.002674 0.004639 0.007203
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000221 0.001146 0.002697 0.004756 0.007459
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000177 0.001096 0.002690 0.004833 0.007663
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000153 0.001082 0.002734 0.004975 0.007946
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000155 0.001130 0.002872 0.005238 0.008379